This is something I've been actively looking into as well. So far, it seems there are many more scholarship/fellowship opportunities going into our second year, because as you noted, the scholarship deadline for this upcoming fall has already passed (passed about 6 months ago).
That said, I don't think you'll be paying sticker price if you're willing to work for it. It seems like there are a lot of opportunities for reader/TA positions, which provide fairly substantial tuition remission if you work 10 hours a week. This is what I'm counting on.
Additionally, after talking with the Residency office for quite a while yesterday, it's very easy - almost too easy - to be considered in state for the second year. Essentially, if you're financially independent (which you're automatically considered if you're over 24), live in California for 366 days prior to your second year (they allow 6 weeks of out-of-state travel within that time), and get your driver's license, vehicle registration, and voter registration switched over to California within the first quarter, you will receive in-state tuition your second year. In-state tuition is nearly half that of out-of-state, so that substantially brings the cost down. It looks like you're from New York, so this should be a great option for you. Of course, this is a bit trickier if you're under 24 or an international student.
So yeah, you'll probably be closer to sticker price for your first year, unless you snag a reader/TA position, but the second year should be well under that. I think there have been a couple other posts concerning financial aid/scholarships on this forum that you should check out as well. Hope this helps!